Risk Disclosure

Important Notice

Trading prediction market contracts involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all participants. You can lose some or all funds committed.

Key Risks

• Market risk: contract prices can move sharply due to new information and event volatility.
• Liquidity risk: you may be unable to enter or exit positions at expected prices.
• Event risk: unexpected geopolitical, legal, or platform-specific events may alter outcomes.
• Model risk: analytics, signals, and correlations may be unstable, overfit, or fail out of sample.
• Operational risk: outages, latency, API interruptions, and data discrepancies can impact decisions.
• Concentration risk: overexposure to a single theme or event can amplify losses.

No Performance Guarantees

Historical observations, backtests, and prior market behavior do not guarantee future results. Any examples on this site are illustrative and are not promises of profitability.

Your Responsibilities

• Use only risk capital you can afford to lose.
• Independently verify market data, rules, and settlement terms.
• Assess tax, legal, and regulatory consequences in your jurisdiction.
• Seek professional advice where appropriate.

Jurisdiction and Eligibility

Access to prediction markets may be restricted by location, age, account status, or applicable law. You are responsible for complying with all applicable rules and platform requirements.

Not Investment Advice

Nothing on this site constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or hedge any position. All decisions remain solely your responsibility.