Start with one lane. Go deeper when you want to.
TrumpSocialTrends is organized around four categories: Content for what was said, Analysis for the context around it, Kalshi for market signals, and Tools for hands-on testing. Most visitors only need one click to find their lane.
Choose your lane
Four simple paths, each with a clear next stepContent
Posts, speeches, and news in a simple, readable entry point for first-time visitors.
Analysis
Use catalysts, movement, and topic trends to understand the context behind the content.
Kalshi
See how market prices, volumes, and mention contracts move with the story.
Tools
Graphs to combine and compare any two subjects, a Timeline to weave events into a narrative, plus the query lab for phrase comparisons.
Quick starts
Jump straight to the most common tasksBrowse posts
Find a post and inspect its unique analytics.
Read news
See what’s being written and how fast it’s spreading.
Market signals
Check how a phrase lines up with market pricing.
Compare phrases
Test correlations between two words or themes.
Build a graph
Combine an X subject and a Y subject, filtered by any word or phrase.
Build a timeline
Weave posts, speeches, news and markets into one chronological story.
What’s happening now
A quick snapshot for returning visitorsHow it works
Three simple stepsWe collect
Posts, speeches, and news are pulled in automatically — refreshed every 10 minutes.
We organize
Content, Kalshi, and analysis are split into clear lanes so the page stays easy to scan.
You explore
Jump to the lane that fits your goal, then open the deeper tools only when needed.
Content Overview
Everything Trump said and posted, gathered in one clean feed.
Latest Posts
Live feed of Truth Social activity with volume, tone, and the topics driving each burst.
Speech Transcripts
Full transcripts with word-frequency trends so you can see what he leaned on today.
News Catalysts
Headlines that tend to move both the narrative and the prediction markets.
Recent activity
Latest items across all content sources“The tariffs are working better than anyone expected!”
Truth Social · 12.4K reactions
Las Vegas rally — NO TAX ON TIPS
Transcript · 6,240 words · “great” ×47
New tariff package under review
Bloomberg · Markets
Analysis Overview
Turn raw content into signals — catalysts, movement, and topic heat.
News Catalysts
Upcoming events most likely to move markets, ranked by expected impact.
Travel & Movement
Interactive map of where he was, is, and is heading — from FAA flight restrictions, speeches, news, and posts.
Topical Heatmap
Which themes are heating up across posts, speeches, and coverage.
Today’s read
A quick synthesis of the current signalTrade rhetoric is accelerating — “tariffs” usage is up 0.31% on Truth and the matching Kalshi market is bid. Legal themes are cooling. Watch the FOMC decision Wednesday as the next likely mover.
Kalshi Overview
Featured Trump prediction markets, priced against what he’s actually saying.
Featured markets
Live odds with the latest catalyst for eachWill Trump mention "China"?
Weekly post count over 400?
Mentions "tariff" 5+ times?
Trump Mention Markets
| Market | Kalshi % | Kalshi Δ | Pays Out | Volume | Truth Freq % | Truth 30d trend | |||||||||||||||||||||
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| What will Trump say this week? ▸ 6 markets · KXWORD · Open Jul 14 · Settle Jul 21 | 32.3% | ▲ 1.8 pts | 3.1x | $128K | 32.30% | ▲ 0.18% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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| Will Trump mention "China"? ▸ 3 markets · KXCHINA · Open Jul 14 · Settle Jul 21 | 61.5% | ▲ 2.4 pts | 1.6x | $84K | 7.40% | ▲ 0.09% | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Donald Trump Truth Social Posts & Search
Full archive of 25,307 posts.
"I'm on Air Force One heading to Las Vegas and Arizona for Greetings and Speeches on NO TAX ON TIPS, a WINDFALL for our Great American Citizens…"
"The President's speech at the United Nations is without question one of the greatest speeches I've ever heard."
"MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!"
Donald Trump Speech Transcripts & Word Trends
2,425 indexed speeches across terms 45 & 47.
Remarks at Rally in Las Vegas, Nevada
Las Vegas, NV · American Presidency Project
Address to the United Nations General Assembly
New York, NY · American Presidency Project
Press Conference at the White House
Washington, DC · American Presidency Project
Donald Trump News Tracker & Latest Headlines
Updated Jul 20, 2026 · aggregated from Google News RSS.
Latest
Trump News Catalysts and Prediction Market Signals
Upcoming events likely to move markets.
Trump Travel & Movement Map
Where he was, is, and is heading — from FAA flight restrictions, speeches, news, and posts.
Trump Word Markets and Frequency Trends
How Trump's word usage lines up with Kalshi mention-market pricing. Descriptive context — not trading advice.
| Word | Kalshi YES | Kalshi 24h | Says it in posts | Last 30 days | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading live market and post-frequency data… | |||||
Trump Topical Heatmap and Concentration Trends
Topic-level concentration across posts, Kalshi-linked words, and headline intensity.
Search Trump Truth Social Posts by Word and Date
Build and correlate time series from any two phrases.
Frequency series
Moderate co-movement between the two series.
Series B lags Series A by 2 days.
Best correlation 0.612Total counts: 1,204 vs 486 · Keywords: tariffs vs china
Graphs — Combine & Compare
Plot any X subject against a Y subject over time, filtered by any word or phrase.
Timeline — Build a Narrative
Mix posts, speeches, news, movements, markets and catalysts into one chronological story.
Trump Mention Markets — Track Record vs Market Pricing
How often Trump has actually said each thing, shown next to what Kalshi is pricing. Descriptive context — not a prediction, signal, or trading advice.
Live Kalshi prices are shown for reference only — we never handle orders or funds; to trade, go to Kalshi directly. These contracts resolve on what Trump says during a specific event, so the most relevant track record is “Says it in speeches” — the share of his archived speech transcripts that contain the phrase. “Says it in posts” adds his broader Truth Social language (all-time, with a 30-day trend), “In news now” flags current news salience, “Often appears with” shows words that co-occur with the phrase — how often each appears across his posts (all-time %), with a 30-day trend on the same basis as “Says it in posts,” and “Upcoming catalyst” surfaces the soonest scheduled event (elections, Fed decisions, summits, cultural events) whose topic tags overlap the phrase or its co-occurring words. Every figure is a descriptive historical base rate — not a probability or trading advice, and past frequency does not predict future behavior. See our Risk Disclosure.
| Market | Contracts & base rates — click a market to expand | ||||
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