Track what Trump said, then see how markets react.
TrumpSocialTrends is a live research workspace for Trump posts, speeches, news, and Kalshi markets. Use it to move from raw content to market context quickly: scan what was said, check market pricing, and build your own dashboard for repeat monitoring.
This site is new and updated often — some features may be buggy and data briefly stale while sources sync. Please be patient as we continue to improve it.
Choose a widget
Content
Everything Trump said and posted, gathered in one clean feed.
Latest Posts
Live feed of Truth Social activity with volume, tone, and the topics driving each burst.
Speech Transcripts
Full transcripts with word-frequency trends so you can see what he leaned on today.
News Catalysts
Headlines that tend to move both the narrative and the prediction markets.
Recent activity
Latest items across all content sources“The tariffs are working better than anyone expected!”
Truth Social · 12.4K reactions
Las Vegas rally — NO TAX ON TIPS
Transcript · 6,240 words · “great” ×47
New tariff package under review
Bloomberg · Markets
Analysis
Turn raw content into signals — catalysts, movement, and topic heat.
News Catalysts
Upcoming events most likely to move markets, ranked by expected impact.
Travel & Movement
Interactive map of where he was, is, and is heading — from FAA flight restrictions, speeches, news, and posts.
Topical Heatmap
Which themes are heating up across posts, speeches, and coverage.
Today’s read
A quick synthesis of the current signalTrade rhetoric is accelerating — “tariffs” usage is up 0.31% on Truth and the matching Kalshi market is bid. Legal themes are cooling. Watch the FOMC decision Wednesday as the next likely mover.
See the pulse, then choose your move.
Start with a fast snapshot of active markets, volume, and momentum. Then jump to Markets for exploration or Watchlist for tracking your saved contracts.
Quick actions
Start with exploration or monitoringBrowse Markets
Search contracts, drill into a series, and star interesting lines.
Open Watchlist
Review your saved contracts, add notes, and monitor updates across sessions on this device.
Resume context
Pick up where you left offWatchlist snapshot
Most recently saved contracts- No saved contracts yet. Add a star in Markets to begin.
Markets
Search Trump-linked Kalshi series and drill into contract detail.
Markets Watchlist
Saved on this device. Track selected contracts and keep notes.
| Contract | Kalshi YES | Says it in speeches | Says it in posts | In news now | Often appears with | Upcoming catalyst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No saved markets yet. Click a star on any market to add it. | ||||||
Donald Trump Truth Social Posts & Search
Full archive of 25,307 posts.
"I'm on Air Force One heading to Las Vegas and Arizona for Greetings and Speeches on NO TAX ON TIPS, a WINDFALL for our Great American Citizens…"
"The President's speech at the United Nations is without question one of the greatest speeches I've ever heard."
"MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!"
Donald Trump Speech Transcripts & Word Trends
2,425 indexed speeches across terms 45 & 47.
Remarks at Rally in Las Vegas, Nevada
Las Vegas, NV · American Presidency Project
Address to the United Nations General Assembly
New York, NY · American Presidency Project
Press Conference at the White House
Washington, DC · American Presidency Project
Prepared Speeches
Scripted public statements and formal addresses.
Rally Remarks
Campaign rally statements and event-stage remarks.
Press Gaggles & Scrums
Informal press exchanges and impromptu Q&A moments.
Debates
Debate and town-hall style exchanges.
Interview Transcripts
TV, radio, and long-form interview transcripts.
Donald Trump News Tracker & Latest Headlines
Updated Jul 20, 2026 · aggregated from Google News RSS.
Latest
Trump News Catalysts and Prediction Market Signals
Upcoming events likely to move markets.
Trump Travel & Movement Map
Where he was, is, and is heading — from FAA flight restrictions, speeches, news, and posts.
Trump Topical Heatmap and Concentration Trends
Topic-level concentration across posts, Kalshi-linked words, and headline intensity.
Tools
Choose an exploration tool based on what you want to answer.
Graphs
Compare any two subjects over time with custom filters, measures, and date ranges.
Timeline
Build a narrative sequence from posts, speeches, news, markets, and catalysts.
Query Lab
Test phrases, build time series, and inspect co-movement between terms.
Search Trump Truth Social Posts by Word and Date
Build and correlate time series from any two phrases.
Frequency series
Moderate co-movement between the two series.
Series B lags Series A by 2 days.
Best correlation 0.612Total counts: 1,204 vs 486 · Keywords: tariffs vs china
Graphs — Combine & Compare
Plot any X subject against a Y subject over time, filtered by any word or phrase.
Timeline — Build a Narrative
Mix posts, speeches, news, movements, markets and catalysts into one chronological story.
Markets — Trump Mention Track Record vs Pricing
How often Trump has actually said each thing, shown next to what Kalshi is pricing. Descriptive context — not a prediction, signal, or trading advice.
Live Kalshi prices are shown for reference only — we never handle orders or funds; to trade, go to Kalshi directly. These contracts resolve on what Trump says during a specific event, so the most relevant track record is “Says it in speeches” — the share of his archived speech transcripts that contain the phrase. “Says it in posts” adds his broader Truth Social language (all-time, with a 30-day trend), “In news now” flags current news salience, “Often appears with” shows words that co-occur with the phrase — how often each appears across his posts (all-time %), with a 30-day trend on the same basis as “Says it in posts,” and “Upcoming catalyst” surfaces the soonest scheduled event (elections, Fed decisions, summits, cultural events) whose topic tags overlap the phrase or its co-occurring words. Every figure is a descriptive historical base rate — not a probability or trading advice, and past frequency does not predict future behavior. See our Risk Disclosure.
| Market | Contracts & base rates — click a market to expand | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading live market and base-rate data… | |||||